Fri, 20 September 2024 07:59:36am
With Joe Biden stepping aside, Kamala Harris has surged in the polls, significantly narrowing the gap against Donald Trump. Can she clinch the presidency?
In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris has significantly closed the gap against former President Donald Trump in the race for the White House. After Joe Biden's exit from the presidential race, Harris has emerged as the Democratic Party's frontrunner, and recent polls indicate a notable surge in her support.
According to the latest Wall Street Journal poll, Harris and Trump are now neck-and-neck, with Harris at 49% and Trump at 47% in a two-person matchup. This close contest falls within the margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, highlighting the intense battle ahead.
Earlier this month, Trump enjoyed a six-point lead over Biden before the latter quit the race. However, the dynamics have shifted dramatically. A New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,142 voters nationwide, conducted between July 22-24, shows Trump leading Harris by a mere 1% among likely voters (48% to 47%). This is a significant improvement for Harris and the Democrats, given Biden was trailing by six percentage points just weeks ago.
Moreover, Trump currently leads Harris 48% to 46% among registered voters, a reduction from his nine-point lead over Biden. Harris’s gains come primarily from parts of the Democratic coalition that had soured on Biden.
Harris has seen a substantial rise in support among non-white voters and within her party. A month ago, Biden was garnering only 59% of Black registered voters in the New York Times poll. Harris, on the other hand, is now expected to receive 69% of these votes. Additionally, Harris has increased her party's share of Hispanic voters from 45% to 57%, and support from voters under 30 has risen from 46% to 56%.
According to Bloomberg, an unweighted average of polls conducted after Biden's departure shows Harris trailing Trump by just 1.6 percentage points, indicating a tightening race.
On Saturday, Kamala Harris officially declared her candidacy for President of the United States. "I will work hard to earn every vote. And in November, our people-powered campaign will win," she announced on X (formerly Twitter).
Following Joe Biden's endorsement on July 21, Harris has also received significant backing from prominent figures such as former President Barack Obama and ex-First Lady Michelle Obama. With the majority of Democratic delegates supporting her, Harris is poised to become the official nominee at the party convention next month.